About the factors reducing the probability of starting earthquakes and possible ways to deflect them

Authors

  • Evdokimova O.V. Southern Scientific Center, Russian Academy of Science, Rostov-on-Don, Российская Федерация
  • Babeshko O.M. Kuban State University, Krasnodar, Российская Федерация
  • Babeshko V.A. Kuban State University, Krasnodar, Российская Федерация
  • Uafa S.B. Southern Scientific Center, Russian Academy of Science, Rostov-on-Don, Российская Федерация
  • Gladskoy I.B. Kuban State University, Krasnodar, Российская Федерация
  • Pluzhnik A.V. Southern Scientific Center, Russian Academy of Science, Rostov-on-Don, Российская Федерация
  • Fedorenko A.G. Southern Scientific Center, Russian Academy of Science, Rostov-on-Don, Российская Федерация

UDC

539.3

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.31429/vestnik-15-2-47-54

Abstract

On the basis of the analysis of the models characterizing the preparation of starting earthquakes for different types of stresses on tectonic plates and types of faults the analysis of earthquakes' beginning probabilities is implemented. This analysis may at the same time show ways to deflect them, i.e. to possibly reduce earthquake risk. It is determined that among the factors affecting the probability of the beginning and elimination of strong starting earthquakes there are such phenomena as ways to distribute stress on tectonic plates and ways to affect the edges of tectonic plates. Also, the probability of the beginning of starting earthquakes may be affected by peculiarities of faults' conditions, in particular the areas of "adhesion" of the faults' edges or their absence. Apart from that, the conditions of the lower, ground-contacting boundaries of tectonic plates may affect the nature of earthquakes.

Keywords:

block element, factorization, topology, integral and differential factorization methods, exterior forms, block structures, boundary problems, singular peculiarity

Acknowledgement

Отдельные фрагменты работы выполнены в рамках реализации Госзадания на 2018 г., проекты (9.8753.2017/8.9), (01201354241), программ президиума РАН I-16, (00-18-21), I-52 проект (00-18-29), и при поддержке грантов РФФИ (16-41-230214), (16-41-230218), (16-48-230216), (17-08-00323), (18-08-00465), (18-01-00384), (18-05-80008).

Author Infos

Olga V. Evdokimova

д-р физ.-мат. наук, главный научный сотрудник Южного научного центра РАН

e-mail: evdokimova.olga@mail.ru

Olga M. Babeshko

д-р физ.-мат. наук, главный научный сотрудник научно-исследовательского центра прогнозирования и предупреждения геоэкологических и техногенных катастроф Кубанского государственного университета

e-mail: babeshko49@mail.ru

Vladimir A. Babeshko

академик РАН, д-р физ.-мат. наук, зав. кафедрой математического моделирования Кубанского государственного университета, директор Научно-исследовательского центра прогнозирования и предупреждения геоэкологических и техногенных катастроф Кубанского государственного университета, заведующий лабораторией Южного федерального университета

e-mail: babeshko41@mail.ru

Samir B. Uafa

младший научный сотрудник Южного научного центра РАН

e-mail: uafa70@mail.ru

Igor B. Gladskoy

канд. физ.-мат. наук, старший научный сотрудник Научно-сследовательского центра прогнозирования и предупреждения геоэкологических и техногенных катастроф Кубанского государственного университета

e-mail: i.glad@list.ru

Andrey V. Pluzhnik

младший научный сотрудник Южного научного центра РАН

e-mail: infocenter@kubsu.ru

Aleksey G. Fedorenko

канд. физ.-мат. наук, младший научный сотрудник Южного научного центра РАН

e-mail: afedorenko@mail.ru

References

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Issue

Section

Mechanics

Pages

47-54

Submitted

2018-06-20

Published

2018-06-27

How to Cite

Evdokimova O.V., Babeshko O.M., Babeshko V.A., Uafa S.B., Gladskoy I.B., Pluzhnik A.V., Fedorenko A.G. About the factors reducing the probability of starting earthquakes and possible ways to deflect them. Ecological Bulletin of Research Centers of the Black Sea Economic Cooperation, 2018, vol. 15, no. 2, pp. 47-54. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31429/vestnik-15-2-47-54 (In Russian)